Bret to become hurricane on arrival in Caribbean
(CNS): Tropical Storm Bret, which formed Sunday afternoon in the middle of the Atlantic, is forecast to become a hurricane over the next few days as it rolls towards the Caribbean. Bret is currently about 1,130 miles east of the Southern Windward Islands, moving west at around 17mph, with winds of around 40mph. The US National Hurricane Center predicts that Bret will be a hurricane by Thursday.
Forecasters from the NHC said there is considerable uncertainty about the track Bret is likely to take as it approaches the region. Earlier today, the Cayman Islands National Weather Service said the storm posed no immediate threat to Cayman, but the forecast path indicates that this could change over the coming days.
Meanwhile, an area of showers and thunderstorms not far behind Bret, several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, is gradually showing signs of organisation. The NHC said environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, with a tropical depression likely to emerge over the next few days.
Just three weeks into the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season, Tropical Storm Bret is the second storm to form — Tropical Storm Arlene was a short-lived system that formed on 2 June. Bret will be the first hurricane if it continues to strengthen as expected.
- Fascinated
- Happy
- Sad
- Angry
- Bored
- Afraid
Category: Science & Nature, Weather
Good amount of wind shear and dry Saharan air between us and Bret. On the other hand, steering currents are in line with us, and sea surface temps are completely supportive of development.
Models are mostly in consensus of tracking west beneath Jamaica, and possible short-term intensification, before petering out south of us. Quite possibly another TC just after that which becomes a fish storm.
I have a notion that Bret is going to drive west, cross into the Pacific and intensify into a major storm.
The big one come in September. Get ready people.
civil service shutting down thursday 1pm…..
No one will notice
Actually it’s due to be a depression in the Caribbean, according to the NHC.
Sorry if that doesn’t fit the narrative.
CNS: The forecast has changed. It was predicted to become a hurricane but that has now been downgraded. Sorry if that’s hard to grasp. Yes, we’ll do an update later this morning.
TO SMART A$$ 7:19AM:
Understanding forecast uncertainty is something EVERY emergency manager should be an expert on.
Predicting Hurricane Ian proved ESPECIALLY tricky.
Hurricane Ian underwent RAPID intensification, a phenomenon where a hurricane gains more than 35 mph in wind speed over 24 hours. For meteorologists, this remains a DIFFICULT trait to anticipate.
Hurricane Ian followed a route LESS traveled, as it spooled up in the Caribbean and climbed north into the Gulf of Mexico before HOOKING east toward Florida.
Ian rapidly intensified TWICE over, surging from 75 mph winds to 155 mph in 48 hours.
This is quite an INTERESTING way to type.
Do you ALSO talk like this?
Its a good thing that we havent filled in historic drainage areas and haven’t killed mangroves, because otherwise we would see unprecedented flooding in the usual spots and many new ones too.
Love the sarcasm mate!! Where’s the LOL option gone from CNS (I know it’s been missing for probably plus 5 years now!!).
Charcoal, lighter fluid and red meat on standby
Pass the rum