Beryl’s forecast path edges closer to Cayman Islands

| 02/07/2024 | 20 Comments
Source: NOAA

(CNS) Updated 7:20pm: At 7:00pm local time, the centre of Hurricane Beryl was located 663 miles east-southeast of the Cayman Islands, moving towards the west-northwest at around 22mph, according to the US National Hurricane Center’s latest update. Packing sustained winds of 150mph, Beryl remains a dangerous category 4 hurricane. On the forecast track, the centre of Beryl will move rapidly across the central Caribbean Sea tonight and pass near or over Jamaica tomorrow and near or over the Cayman Islands on Wednesday night or early Thursday, when it will still be at hurricane intensity.

Hurricane-force winds currently extend outward up to 40 miles, and tropical-storm-force winds extend about 185 miles from the centre. While little has changed since the afternoon bulletin, Beryl’s predicted track has edged even closer to Grand Cayman.

As the day came to a close on Tuesday, the Cayman Islands Government said the National Emergency Operations Centre (NEOC) would be in action tomorrow morning at 10:00am. The Cayman Regiment will also assemble at 10:00am and deploy at noon after receiving official orders.

Premier Juliana O’Connor-Connolly said that vigilance and preparedness are critical to preventing extensive damage to property, infrastructure and, most importantly, loss of life.

”The next 36 hours require us to ensure our yards are free of potential projectiles, food and medication supplies are stocked, and structural assessments to homes and businesses are completed,” she said in a press release. “Battening down is essential, and accommodations for the vulnerable — seniors, those who are medically impaired, heavily expectant mothers — should be made by now. Our aim at the start of the season was to assume a culture of readiness across all three Islands and this is our first true test.”

See earlier posts and more information below.

1:40pm Tuesday: The track of Hurricane Beryl appears to be hard to predict, as the latest forecast again puts the Cayman Islands closer to its path. As of 1:00pm Tuesday, all three islands are under a hurricane warning, though it is still predicted to pass south of Grand Cayman on Wednesday night/Thursday morning. Beryl remains a category 4 storm as it heads towards Jamaica, and residents of these islands are advised to continue with hurricane preparations.

Source: CINWS

According to the latest government update, a hurricane watch means that hurricane-force conditions are likely within the next 36 hours. At 1:00pm today, Beryl was located approximately 798 miles east-southeast of Grand Cayman, moving west-northwest at 22 miles per hour.

Based on the latest forecast, tropical-storm-force winds will begin 9:00pm on Wednesday on Cayman Brac and half an hour later on Little Cayman. The centre of Hurricane Beryl is expected to pass 92 miles south of Cayman Brac, and 86 miles south of Little Cayman at approximately 5:00am.

Grand Cayman will start to experience tropical-storm-force winds at 12:30am on Thursday. The centre is expected to pass 41 miles south of Grand Cayman, also at approximately 5:00am, according to the update.

On Grand Cayman, residents can expect overcast skies with widespread thunderstorms starting Wednesday evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected by early Thursday morning as Beryl approaches. Extremely rough seas and storm surges are also forecasted, with swells arriving by Wednesday evening.

The Sister Islands can also expect overcast skies and widespread thunderstorms from Wednesday evening. The proximity of the hurricane enhances the likelihood of extremely rough seas, significant swells, and storm surges. Adjustments to the forecast track suggest an increased possibility of storm-force winds impacting the Sister Islands.

A flood warning is currently in effect for the Cayman Islands, as approximately 4-10 inches of rainfall is expected on Thursday. A marine warning is in effect, with wave heights expected to rise from 6-9 feet on Wednesday evening, 10-15 feet on Thursday, and 5-7 feet on Friday.

Non-essential government offices will close today, Tuesday, 2 July, at 2:00pm and remain closed until an official All Clear has been given.

The Cayman Islands Government is calling for unified cooperation and awareness ahead of Hurricane Beryl and its potential impact on the Cayman Islands. The National Emergency Operations Centre (NEOC) has been activated as of noon today, and multiple senior-level government officials are collaboratively coordinating planning and response activities. These include the Cayman Islands Regiment, the CI Fire Service, the RCIPS, the Cayman Islands Coast Guard, and infrastructure partners.

“As we prepare for the threat of Hurricane Beryl, we are asking that the public remain highly attentive to all official channels and comply with directions being given,” Acting Deputy Governor Eric Bush said. “Continued proactive efforts are imperative at this time — secure your homes, have all necessary resources like water, food supplies and medication and assist the vulnerable in your families and communities.”

Officials are urging everyone in Cayman to prepare for the storm today and to ensure they are ready to ride it out in a safe place from nightfall on Wednesday.

Click to enlarge

Authorities are preparing designated shelters for those who may need to evacuate their homes. A notice will be shared when shelters are opened. Residents should make necessary arrangements to reach these shelters and remain calm during this process.

Residents should regularly check for updates from official sources, including the National Weather Service, local government websites, and trusted news outlets. People are required to adhere to guidance provided by local authorities, including potential evacuation orders and shelter information.

Hazard Management Cayman Islands Director Danielle Coleman said the authorities are closely monitoring Hurricane Beryl and are ready to respond as needed as she urged people to prepare. “Take this time to secure your homes and finalize your emergency plans. Stay informed and stay safe,” she said.

Import numbers and web pages:

  • NEOC Call Centre: 949-6555
  • Emergency Services: 911
  • Mental Health Hotline: 1-800-534-6463
  • Local Weather Updates: www.weather.gov.ky
  • Hazard Management Cayman Islands: www.caymanprepared.gov.ky 
  • Local News Outlets: CIG TV and Radio Cayman
  • Social media: Follow @caymangov @caymanprepared on Instagram and Facebook for real-time updates.

The next CIG bulletin will be issued at 6pm today, Tuesday, 2 July.


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Category: Science & Nature, Weather

Comments (20)

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  1. Anonymous says:

    I had experienced 3 devastating hurricanes in my life, all names start with letter “I”: Ivan, Irma, Ian. One in Cayman, two in Florida.

  2. Anonymous says:

    Once every 20 years?

  3. Anonymous says:

    I remember the first night after Ian passing…pitch black and utter silence…HEAVEN ON EARTH…then sun came up and revealed the extend of the devastation on land

  4. Anonymous says:

    Pray it will be moving fast. Ian was churning SWFL for nearly 7 hours – with winds up to 155 mph, plenty of time to destroy everything that could be destroyed.

  5. Anonymous says:

    In pictures: Beryl leaves a trail of destruction across southeast Caribbean islands
    https://www.cnn.com/weather/live-news/hurricane-beryl-category-5-storm-jamaica-07-02-24/index.html

  6. Kathy says:

    Prayers for Cayman from Ohio, Indiana and North Carolina in the USA.

    We care for the island and all who live, work and vacation there.

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  7. Anonymous says:

    50-60mph winds max.
    if you panic about this…you need to live elsewhere.
    we got lucky this time.

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    • Anonymous says:

      Anyone on the south coast experiencing waves in excess of 10 feet are not that worried about wind speeds.

    • Radio Rich says:

      Think you’re wrong pal, having gone through Irma in BVI, sustained 185mph, gusting 250mph, your advice is way off the mark and I would say dangerous, you’re about to be trashed.

      • Anonymous says:

        Show me a forecast that’s says to going over 70 knots? Irma was forecast to be a Cat 5 when it hit- this is not. What’s your point?

  8. Anonymous says:

    Bury those hazards called power lines CUC

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    • Anonymous says:

      When you are ready to pay the initial and ongoing costs. Think you have costs to moan about now.

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  9. What about my Parrot? says:

    I like the High Schools being pet friendly shelters. Except they appear to accept either dogs or cats as opposed to a number of dogs & cats, plus other pets.

  10. Anonymous says:

    We’ve never had a hurricane this power so early in the season, hence the computer models not being able to accurately predict where it’s going. I really hope everyone is taking this seriously. people is flood prone areas please do yourself a favor and stay with a friend in a better location or the hurricane shelter.

  11. Anonymous says:

    Were all disabled and elderly living alone accounted for and a person(s) is assigned to each one to monitor their wellbeing before during and after the potential disaster, as well as make evacuation decisions? I assume Cayman Islands Regiment takes this role.

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  12. Anonymous says:

    Someone take a before and after picture of Seven Mile Beach when the hurricane passes.
    Tropical Storm Irma within 2 hours made all the sand from Marriott to Royal Palms disappear swept out to sea. Still hasn’t recovered. I think this storm will suck even more sand away again of SMB.

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  13. Anonymous says:

    Thank you! Very helpful map to have, just in case.
    Stay safe Cayman!

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  14. Anonymous says:

    The shelter facilities are inadequate and pathetic. The Island is covered with well built and engineered hotels, office buildings and schools. And yet they are unavailable – even where lives are threatened. For a society that calls itself Christian, and founded on the seas. Unforgivable.

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