Latest forecast predicts ‘average’ season

| 01/06/2018 | 17 Comments
Cayman News Service

Hurricane Hunter aircraft

(CNS): As the Atlantic hurricane season officially begins, experts are predicting an “average” number of storms this year, which means around 14 in total, with the recent Sub-tropical Storm Alberto thrown into the mix. In the update from Colorado State University, the forecasters have dropped their earlier forecast to six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. Below-average sea-surface temperatures are expected to influence the hurricane season in our region, leading to the reduced prediction, but experts warn it takes only one storm to claim lives and property.

Dr Phil Klotzbach, the lead a tropical scientist at CSU, said conditions were less conducive for an active Atlantic hurricane season than was present in late March, when he published his last long-range forecast. He added that the cooler-than-average waters in the tropical Atlantic are being driven by northerly winds around the eastern periphery of a strong area of high pressure over the eastern and central Atlantic Ocean.

But the scientists believe there could be further adjustments to the forecast.

“If the tropical Atlantic were to remain anomalously cool or if El Niño were to develop unexpectedly, the seasonal forecast would be lowered with our July or August updates,” the weather report stated. “However, if the tropical Atlantic were to anomalously warm and the tropical Pacific were to remain neutral, the seasonal forecast could be increased in future updates,” it concluded, illustrating the unpredictability of long-range forecasting and the need for those of us living in the hurricane belt to be prepared.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami said there was no sign of tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. Meanwhile, the Cayman Islands National Weather Service predicts light winds and slight seas over the next 24 hours, with only isolated showers.

Tags: ,

Category: Science & Nature, Weather

Comments (17)

Trackback URL | Comments RSS Feed

  1. Anonymous says:

    I went to church last week and Joey Ebanks was preaching. Yes can you imagine.

    6
    2
  2. Anonymous says:

    Insert random Trump-like idiot climate denier statement here.

    5
    2
    • Anonymous says:

      How about MAGA! It works well with pointless statements like yours.

      • Anonymous says:

        I lack the intelligence to understand what your statement means.
        Or is that your Trump-like idiotic statement, Billy-Bob?

    • Anonymous says:

      Let me repeat my comment since CNS are in full support of like-minded liberal bigoted comments like this, but like typical pinkhat wareing libtardrded snowflakes, won’t allow allow posts like (“insert libtarded moroninc comment here”).

      Your OOZING LIBERAL BIAS IS PATHETIC ANDF OBVIOUS TO EVERYONE ON THE ISLANDS CNS! How does it feel to have no integrity? Pathetic bunch of fake news peddling commies.

  3. Anonymous says:

    Dont let the climate change fool you! This is very likely a climate change Trojan horse! Don’t try to interpret the climate yourself, you have to leave it to professional scientific climate explainers.

    3
    3
  4. Anonymous says:

    We need more people to go to church.
    Then God will protect us and make hurricanes go to countries with gays.
    Please go to church.

    12
    19
  5. Beaumont Zodecloun says:

    There is an interesting process I think I’ve observed: Storms, or potential storms are named much earlier than they were in the past. It used to be that the U.S. Navy identified “invests”, and the NHC identified named storms. Lately, the NHC seems to be classifying systems without a closed circulation. For the most part, I think this is a good thing, as it starts the model guidance and tracking earlier, as well as alerts Central American and other nations that there is a “blob” that is in the works.

    Okay, maybe it’s just interesting to me. ;o)

    5
    2
    • Weather Observer says:

      It would really help if the Americans learned English properly instead of inventing new meanings for long-established words.
      ‘Invest’ means to participate in a business or project whether financially or in other ways;
      ‘Investigate’ or ‘investigation’ are what the meteorologists think they are doing with nascent tropical disturbances.

  6. Anonymous says:

    Latest forcast should be “we havent got a clue”. One of the only professions where you are free to make serious errors and keep your job.

    24
    9
  7. Anonymous says:

    Please relay that to our insurance company! Our rates were up 40% after the Black Swan events of last season!

    18
    2
  8. Anonymous says:

    phew….. hurricanes blew themselves out last year…
    bring on 2019….

    1
    3
    • Anonymous says:

      @ Anonymous 01/06/2018 at 10:45 am

      What? You didn’t watch the news last year? Many islands were absolutely devastated and many lives were lost. We were just lucky it wasn’t Cayman. This time it could be us so try not to be so flippant about something so very serious.

      6
      1

Please include your email address in the form below if you are using your real name. You can use a pseudonym, with or without leaving an email address, or just leave the form blank to be "Anonymous". All comments will be moderated before they are published. Please read the CNS Comment Policy at the top of this page.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

SIGN UP FOR THE CNS NEWS LETTER, SENT EVERY WEEKDAY STRAIGHT TO  YOUR INBOX