(CNS): Hurricane season is over but there were no disruptions to life in the Cayman Islands over the last six months as none of the 11 storms that formed this season came even close to the area. In the Legislative Assembly last week MLAs expressed relief that the quiet season predictions were accurate, and Cayman went through another year without incident. According to the season summary released by the Philip Klotzbach and William Gray from Colorado State University, their earlier predictions were pretty accurate.
“The 2015 hurricane season had activity at levels slightly more than predicted. The season had an approximately average number of named storms, but most of the hurricanes that formed this year were very short-lived,” said Phil Klotzbach, lead author of the forecast in a press release about the report on Monday, the last day of the season.
The report summarises all tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin during the 2015 hurricane season and compares the team’s seasonal and two-week forecasts to what actually happened.
The experts said that several factors combined to make the season quiet. The main reason why storms were limited was the strong presence of El Nino – warmer than normal water in the central and eastern tropical Pacific — which suppresses storm activity in the Atlantic. Vertical wind shear in the Caribbean was said to be the strongest on record since at least 1979 for June-October. The tropical Atlantic, which began quite cold this year, warmed up significantly over the course of the season, which led to the development of several weak tropical cyclones in the eastern part of the Atlantic basin.
Of the eleven named storms this year just four became hurricanes this season. Hurricane Joaquin was the first Category 4-5 hurricane to impact the Bahamas since 1886, demonstrating the dangers even in the quietest of seasons.